Hello! I am Alessio, an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management, Italy.
I am also affiliated at the Centre for International Macroeconomic Studies (CIMS, University of Surrey).
I hold a PhD in Economics (2020) from Queen Mary University of London.
My research interests include Econometrics, Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometrics.

RESEARCH
WORKS IN PROGRESS
Priors from General Equilibrium Models for Local Projections
(with F. Fusari, J. Marlow)
Simultaneous Subsampling Inference for Impulse Responses in Set-Identified SVARs
Cost-of-Living and Retention of English NHS Workers and NHS Hospital Patient Health Outcomes
(with J. Marlow, G. Moscelli, M. Svili)
WORKING PAPERS
More on VARs and Local Projections Equivalence: Unit Roots and Multiple Instruments
(with F. Fusari, J. Marlow)
PUBLICATIONS
Estimation and Inference of the Forecast Erorr Variance Decomposition for Set-Identified SVARs
(with F. Fusari, J. Marlow)
Journal of Econometrics, 2026
Validating DSGE Models through SVARs under Imperfect Information
(with A. Levine, J. Pearlman, B. Yang)
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2025
Max Share Identification of Multiple Shocks: An Application to Uncertainty and Financial Conditions
(with A. Carriero)
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2024
Best Paper Award, 1st Time Series Workshop, University of East Anglia
SVARs Identification Through Bounds on the Forecast Error Variance
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2022
Uncertain Identification
(with R. Giacomini, T. Kitagawa)
Quantitative Economics, 2022
Macro Prudential Governance and Central Banks: Facts and Drivers
(with D. Masciandaro)
Journal of International Money and Fianance, 2016
Designing Financial Supervision: The Puzzling Case of the FIUs against Money Laundering
(with D. Masciandaro)
Journal of Financial Regulation, 2016
BOOK CHAPTERS
Central Banking, Macroprudential Policy and Insurance
(with D. Masciandaro)
Chapter 9 in J. Monkiewicz, M. Malecki Macroprudemtial Supervision in Insurance: Theoretical and Practical Aspects
Palgrave Macmillan, 2016
TEACHING
Microeconomics 1 (BSc)
University of Pavia, 2025-
Coding for Data Analysis (BSc)
University of Pavia, 2025-
Time Series Econometrics (BSc)
University of Surrey, 2020-24
Intermediate Econometrics (BSc)
University of Surrey, 2020-21
Econometrics 1 (MSc)
University of Surrey, 2020-22
Topics in Macroeconometrics (PhD)
University of Surrey, 2022-24
Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models
CIMS-Surrey Summer School, 2021-
Empirical Identification of Macroeconomic Shocks
CIMS-Surrey Summer School, 2023-
CONTACTS
Alessio Volpicella
Associate Professor of Economics
University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management
Via S. Felice Al Monastero, 527100 Pavia (PV), Italy
alessio.volpicella@unipv.it
+39 0382986203